this is Shades of the Day — bringing you different shades of opinion in news & culture so that you can see the big picture quickly. We believe that seeing multiple POVs is the best way to stay informed.

It’s Thursday, October 31 — here’s what you’ll find in today’s edition:

• Potential stock market relationship with election chances

• The discovery of a Jurassic tadpole fossil

• 4 quick hits of news from the last 24 hours

Market predicts election?

Livemint.com says the stock market may be batting for Kamala Harris: The S&P 500 has climbed 12% since August 2024, aligning with historical success for the incumbent party.

Meanwhile, Fortune points out that Harris's entry into the presidential race bumped the market up 5% -- historically, another good sign for incumbents. However, there were rare flukes in ‘68 and '80.

Economic Times says the market isn't the whole story, though: Stock trends may favor Harris, but Trump's strong polling numbers can't be dismissed!

Finally, Aljazeera questions the stock market's predictive power: In today's political climate, it's unclear if market trends can really foresee election outcomes like they used to.

Jurassic tadpole discovered

Nature.com celebrates a major find: The discovery of the oldest known giant tadpole fossil -- It was found in Argentina, and lived during the Middle Jurassic period (168-161 million years ago).

Livescience.com: This tadpole fossil reveals that the amphibian life cycle's been stable for 161 million years -- but we know that older amphibians were absolutely giant. This tadpole was about 6 inches long!

The NYT adds that it clarifies our understanding of frog evolution: This fossil pushes the tadpole timeline back several million years!

ABC News says the fossil's finely preserved state is remarkable -- it lets us see features like eyes and nerves, informing us more about ancient frog life. It's great, usually frog fossils do not preserve well.

1) Elon Musk missed the start of a court hearing regarding his $1 million voter giveaway.

2) Spain faces devastating floods with at least 95 dead after unprecedented rainfall in Valencia and surrounding areas.

3) Arnold Schwarzenegger, former California governor, endorses Kamala Harris for president, emphasizing a need for unity.

4) Biden's “garbage” remark could have repercussions for Kamala Harris in the political arena.